LeaderboardJul 19 2026 · 48 teams
Who lifts the trophy?
Live AI-market title odds at every stage of the bracket. Top 3 favorites, full ladder.
Top 3 favorites
Title probability
#1 ChampionUEFA
France
FRA
Title prob16.2%
#2 Runner-upUEFA
Spain
ESP
Title prob16.2%
#3 Top favoriteUEFA
England
ENG
Title prob11.2%
LeaderboardTop 12 · path probabilities
R16 · QF · SF · F · WinRank
Team
Group
R16
QF
SF
F
Win
1
France
FRA · UEFA
Group I
79%
57%
42%
26%
16.2%
2
Spain
ESP · UEFA
Group H
78%
61%
44%
27%
16.2%
3
England
ENG · UEFA
Group L
77%
56%
34%
19%
11.2%
4
Portugal
POR · UEFA
Group K
73%
49%
31%
18%
10.1%
5
Argentina
ARG · CONMEBOL
Group J
70%
52%
31%
17%
8.8%
6
Brazil
BRA · CONMEBOL
Group C
72%
48%
31%
16%
8.3%
7
Germany
GER · UEFA
Group E
71%
38%
25%
12%
5.7%
8
Netherlands
NED · UEFA
Group F
56%
37%
19%
9%
4.0%
9
Japan
JPN · AFC
Group F
41%
23%
7%
4%
2.1%
10
Belgium
BEL · UEFA
Group G
60%
37%
15%
5%
1.9%
11
Colombia
COL · CONMEBOL
Group K
53%
28%
16%
5%
1.8%
12
Morocco
MAR · CAF
Group C
46%
22%
12%
4%
1.6%
1
France
Group I · UEFA
16.2%
Title
R16
79%
QF
57%
SF
42%
F
26%
2
Spain
Group H · UEFA
16.2%
Title
R16
78%
QF
61%
SF
44%
F
27%
3
England
Group L · UEFA
11.2%
Title
R16
77%
QF
56%
SF
34%
F
19%
4
Portugal
Group K · UEFA
10.1%
Title
R16
73%
QF
49%
SF
31%
F
18%
5
Argentina
Group J · CONMEBOL
8.8%
Title
R16
70%
QF
52%
SF
31%
F
17%
6
Brazil
Group C · CONMEBOL
8.3%
Title
R16
72%
QF
48%
SF
31%
F
16%
7
Germany
Group E · UEFA
5.7%
Title
R16
71%
QF
38%
SF
25%
F
12%
8
Netherlands
Group F · UEFA
4.0%
Title
R16
56%
QF
37%
SF
19%
F
9%
9
Japan
Group F · AFC
2.1%
Title
R16
41%
QF
23%
SF
7%
F
4%
10
Belgium
Group G · UEFA
1.9%
Title
R16
60%
QF
37%
SF
15%
F
5%
11
Colombia
Group K · CONMEBOL
1.8%
Title
R16
53%
QF
28%
SF
16%
F
5%
12
Morocco
Group C · CAF
1.6%
Title
R16
46%
QF
22%
SF
12%
F
4%